2012年(464)
分类: Delphi
2012-05-29 15:31:30
China’s phenomenal
saving rate will start falling, as the population ages and workers become more
expensive. Capital is also already becoming less captive. Fed up with the
miserable returns on their deposits, savers are demanding alternatives. That
underlines the longer-term problem China faces. The same quirks and unfairness
that would help it withstand a shock in the next few years will, over time, work
against the country. Some are also finding ways to take their money out of the
country, contributing to unusual downward pressure on the currency. China’s bank
deposits grew at their slowest rate on record in the year to April.
So China
will have to learn how to use its capital more wisely. That will require it to
lift barriers to private investment in lucrative markets still dominated by
wasteful SOEs. It will also require a less cosseted banking system and a better
social-security net, never mind the political and social reforms that will be
needed in the coming decade.
Private consumption plays a small role in
China’s economy, compared with its prominence in America. Yet hidden disposable
incomes may account for trillions of yuan, held disproportionately in the hands
of the rich.
After all, Chen is a shame for US and even the world. Earlier
this month in Beijing, China and America held the latest installment of their
Strategic and Economic Dialogue (S&ED), a regular—and by most accounts
productive—series of high-level bilateral meetings. Attending were America’s
secretary of state, Hillary Clinton, and treasury secretary, Timothy Geithner.
Broad-ranging and important issues like trade, currency, nuclear proliferation
filled the agenda. But most attention was focused on the daring flight of a
blind lawyer and activist, Chen Guangcheng, from his illegal home detention in
Shandong to the American embassy in Beijing.
Before leaving China, Ms Clinton
and Mr Geithner held a short press conference. The first question came with a
preface about the distraction posed by Mr Chen’s case.
“Madam Secretary, it
won’t surprise you, I think, to get the questions that you’re about to get from
me, which all have to do with the elephant in the room that’s been dogging us,”
he said.
But even as the delicate and dramatic saga of Chen Guangcheng
played out, there was at least one other elephant in the room. And far from
dogging anyone, it was an elephant that, so to speak, didn’t even bark. But as
the political things, we did not have the right to say some bad on the back. We
should view it justify way. We can see China economic from Jaw crusher and other
industry rapid developing. Not such rumours.