世行：今年中国GDP增速将放缓至8.7%

本文摘自昆明中国国际旅行社
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　　本报讯 （记者沈玮青）昨日，世界银行发布《2011全球经济展望》报告称，世界经济今明两年仍将增长，但增速会放缓，影响复苏力度的风险依然存在。中国经济是2010年全球复苏的引擎，但2011年经济增长速度将从去年的10%降至8.7%。

　　从地区来看，东亚和太平洋地区2010年经济增长估计为9.3%，引领全球复苏。世行首席经济学家林毅夫称，中国无疑是东亚地区复苏的龙头。他表示，中国去年进口增长了35%，远比出口增长速度快，这有利于中国经济的平衡发展。据悉，世行去年不断上调对中国的经济预期，从8.5%、9.5%一直到目前的10%，林毅夫也对中国经济的发展持乐观态度。

　　但他同时指出，目前进出口仍占中国经济总量的65%，中国应继续扩大内需，以促进经济的持续发展。他预计2011年中国经济由于通胀的压力，增速会比去年略有下调，降至8.7%，这也符合全球经济未来发展普遍趋势。此外，去年流入发展中国家股市和债市的国际资本净流量急剧上升，这虽然巩固了多数发展中国家的复苏，但也可能会带来风险，从而威胁中期复苏，特别是在货币突然升值或资产泡沫显现的情况下。林毅夫称，今年中国应从其他国家的困境中吸取教训，避免重蹈覆辙。

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